Sherrill Polls Ahead in New Jersey Gubernatorial Race Against Ciattarelli
Democratic New Jersey gubernatorial candidate Mikie Sherrill is leading her Republican opponent, Jack Ciattarelli, by 13 percentage points in a recent SurveyUSA poll, highlighting a potentially decisive advantage ahead of the November election. The poll, conducted shortly after both candidates secured their nominations, indicates that 51% of likely voters support Sherrill, while 38% favor Ciattarelli.
This election marks a crucial moment for New Jersey, as it seeks to replace incumbent Democratic Governor Phil Murphy, who is term-limited. Historically, New Jersey has leaned Democratic, voting for the party in every presidential election since 1988. However, the state has seen a notable increase in Republican support, particularly in the 2024 presidential race, where Trump improved his vote share by 10 points.
Sherrill, a U.S. Representative, brings a background in the Navy and federal prosecution, while Ciattarelli, a former state representative, aims to end sanctuary policies for undocumented immigrants. The candidates’ favorability ratings are closely matched, with Ciattarelli at 40% and Sherrill at 41%. However, Sherrill boasts lower negative ratings, with 29% of voters viewing her unfavorably compared to Ciattarelli’s 36%.
Political analysts note that while New Jersey leans Democratic, the GOP has had recent successes, raising speculation about the November outcome. Micah Rasmussen from the Rebovich Institute emphasizes that it remains feasible for a Republican to win.
Former President Trump has publicly endorsed Ciattarelli, urging his supporters to rally for his campaign. The election, scheduled for November 4, also features five independent and third-party candidates, adding another layer of competition. Voter turnout will be pivotal in determining whether Sherrill solidifies her lead or if Ciattarelli can pull off an upset.
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